US Launches 'AI Manhattan Project' Aiming for Massive Computing Leap by 2027

Jul 04, 2025
Epoch AI
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Summary

The US government initiates an 'AI Manhattan Project' consolidating private sector resources and investing a fraction of GDP, aiming for a 2e29 FLOP training run by 2027, around 500 times larger than the most compute-intensive model to date and 10,000 times larger than GPT-4.

Key Points

  • A US government-initiated 'AI Manhattan Project' consolidates private sector AI resources and invests a fraction of GDP similar to the original Manhattan Project or Apollo program.
  • Such a project could yield a 2e29 FLOP training run by the end of 2027, around 500 times larger than the most compute-intensive model to date and 10,000 times larger than GPT-4.
  • While ambitious, this scale appears feasible given recent evidence on supercomputer and energy scaling, with power needs potentially met through accelerated gas plant construction or requisitioning existing capacity.

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