Language Models Accelerating Exponentially, Reshaping Software by 2030
Summary
Large Language Models are accelerating exponentially, with capabilities doubling every 7 months, reshaping software development by 2030 as advanced LLMs could complete month-long tasks with 50% reliability, often much faster, raising significant potential benefits and risks.
Key Points
- Large Language Models are improving at an exponential rate, with capabilities doubling every 7 months.
- By 2030, the most advanced LLMs could complete software tasks that take humans a month with 50% reliability, often much faster.
- The rapid progress of LLMs raises significant potential benefits and risks that will have enormous stakes.