Gartner Predicts 40% of AI Agent Projects Will Fail by 2027 Despite Growing Automation

Jan 02, 2026
Gartner
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Summary

Gartner predicts over 40% of AI agent projects will fail by 2027 due to rising costs and unclear business value, yet forecasts autonomous AI will handle 15% of daily work decisions by 2028 as the technology matures beyond current hype-driven experiments.

Key Points

  • Gartner forecasts over 40% of agentic AI projects will be canceled by end of 2027 due to escalating costs, unclear business value, and inadequate risk controls
  • Most current agentic AI projects remain early-stage experiments driven by hype, with many vendors engaging in 'agent washing' by rebranding existing products without substantial agentic capabilities
  • Despite initial challenges, Gartner predicts at least 15% of day-to-day work decisions will be made autonomously through agentic AI by 2028, up from 0% in 2024

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