Global Tech Sovereignty Crawls Forward as China and US Dominate While Most Nations Remain Dependent on Foreign Technology

Jul 20, 2026
Forrester
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Summary

Global tech sovereignty inches forward as a new assessment reveals most nations remain dangerously dependent on foreign technology, with China and the US commanding dominant scores of 82% and 79% while the global average barely budges from 39% to 40% by 2030, even as semiconductor independence emerges as a rare bright spot.

Key Points

  • Global technology sovereignty is advancing at a sluggish pace, with the average tech sovereignty score across 14 assessed countries expected to rise only marginally from 39% in 2025 to 40% in 2030, despite escalating geopolitical tensions.
  • China and the US dominate the sovereignty landscape, scoring 82% and 79% respectively, while most European and midsize nations remain heavily dependent on foreign technology providers for chips, cloud, software, and data center capacity.
  • Semiconductor manufacturing emerges as the fastest-improving dimension of tech sovereignty, with the US and South Korea projected to surge from 45% to 79% by 2030, though concentrated chip supply chains and dominant software providers continue to pose major sovereignty challenges globally.

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